ATLFalcons
3-8
16
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
028
LARRams
2-9
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
0
3
13
16
Rams
14
7
0
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
435
409
Total Plays
81
62
Yards / Play
5.4
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.02
Passing Yards
324
304
Comp/Att
33/59(56%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.05
Rushing Yards
111
105
Rush Attempts
18
26
Yards / Rush
6.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
19
Passing 1st downs
17
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
42%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.12
-9.29
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-32
-7
Sack EPA
-6.31
-1.98
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
55
46
Penalty EPA
-6.01
-2.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
31
Yards / Game
23
22
Passing Yards / Game
5
20
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
31
29
EPA / Pass
29
23
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
7
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
12
29
Turnover EPA / Game
19
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
12
4th Down Efficiency
26
27
RZ Efficiency
29
27
Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
29
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
9
9
Rushing Yards / Game
25
26
EPA
EPA / Play
29
22
EPA / Pass
30
21
EPA / Rush
26
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
8
Interceptions / Game
32
18
Fumbles / Game
12
25
Turnover EPA / Game
5
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
8
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
26
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U