ATLFalcons
7-8
13
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
031
LARRams
13-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
6
7
0
13
Rams
10
7
14
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
458
Total Plays
56
61
Yards / Play
4.6
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.08
Passing Yards
159
266
Comp/Att
12/30(40%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
8.9
EPA / Pass
-0.68
+0.02
Rushing Yards
96
192
Rush Attempts
21
29
Yards / Rush
4.6
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-14.51
-12.93
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-17
-14
Sack EPA
-12.76
-2.27
Penalties
6
1
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
6
Yards / Game
14
3
Passing Yards / Game
8
20
Rushing Yards / Game
15
5
EPA
EPA / Play
19
4
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
14
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
16
Interceptions / Game
13
4
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
7
4th Down Efficiency
25
16
RZ Efficiency
26
26
Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
24
Yards / Game
1
30
Passing Yards / Game
1
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21
EPA
EPA / Play
2
26
EPA / Pass
1
30
EPA / Rush
3
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
2
Interceptions / Game
24
13
Fumbles / Game
29
27
Turnover EPA / Game
5
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
1
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U