ATLFalcons
5-4
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
49°F
8 mph
24
BALRavens
7-2
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
49°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
7
0
3
0
10
Ravens
0
0
17
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
328
Total Plays
51
67
Yards / Play
3.6
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.01
Passing Yards
82
225
Comp/Att
11/21(52%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.42
+0.21
Rushing Yards
104
103
Rush Attempts
25
31
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
20
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
18%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
33%
43%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.65
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-45
-11
Sack EPA
-8.66
-3.47
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
47
56
Penalty EPA
-3.91
-5.88
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
12
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
2
EPA
EPA / Play
22
2
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
3
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
31
Interceptions / Game
13
1
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
31
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
1
4th Down Efficiency
25
7
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Ravens Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
14
Yards / Game
16
20
Passing Yards / Game
30
32
Rushing Yards / Game
26
10
EPA
EPA / Play
16
14
EPA / Pass
9
25
EPA / Rush
28
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
6
Interceptions / Game
15
25
Fumbles / Game
12
17
Turnover EPA / Game
23
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
23
4th Down Efficiency
2
8
RZ Efficiency
28
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U