ATLFalcons
2-7
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
023
NOSaints
4-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Falcons
4
10
0
0
0
14
Saints
0
3
7
10
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
403
Total Plays
56
81
Yards / Play
4.4
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.28
Passing Yards
76
193
Comp/Att
8/27(30%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
2.8
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.71
-0.54
Rushing Yards
168
210
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
6.0
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
23
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
8%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-7.18
-14.11
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-4
-35
Sack EPA
-1.63
-9.97
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
44
46
Penalty EPA
-4.39
-5.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
14
Yards / Game
29
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
14
27
EPA
EPA / Play
30
15
EPA / Pass
32
14
EPA / Rush
5
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
15
Interceptions / Game
28
20
Fumbles / Game
5
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
15
4th Down Efficiency
9
23
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
30
Yards / Game
11
32
Passing Yards / Game
7
25
Rushing Yards / Game
10
29
EPA
EPA / Play
14
22
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
22
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
18
Interceptions / Game
1
15
Fumbles / Game
32
2
Turnover EPA / Game
13
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
22
4th Down Efficiency
31
4
RZ Efficiency
11
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U