ATLFalcons
5-3
34
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
64°F
15 mph
34
PITSteelers
5-3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
64°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
10
17
34
Steelers
3
14
14
3
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
647
Total Plays
80
86
Yards / Play
5.6
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.10
Passing Yards
279
465
Comp/Att
24/46(52%)
28/42(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
11.1
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.47
Rushing Yards
168
182
Rush Attempts
31
42
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
30
Passing 1st downs
11
20
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
45%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
20
16
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-1.74
-8.36
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-15
-10
Sack EPA
-2.97
-2.68
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
95
25
Penalty EPA
-10.29
-3.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
13
12
Passing Yards / Game
19
30
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
14
11
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
20
Interceptions / Game
5
8
Fumbles / Game
23
5
Turnover EPA / Game
24
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
30
4th Down Efficiency
13
22
RZ Efficiency
25
18
Steelers Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
6
Yards / Game
5
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
18
EPA
EPA / Play
9
7
EPA / Pass
11
9
EPA / Rush
14
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
19
Interceptions / Game
29
3
Fumbles / Game
14
10
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
21
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U