ATLFalcons
2-9
13
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
017
HOUTexans
4-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Falcons
0
7
0
6
13
Texans
0
3
14
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
243
236
Total Plays
64
54
Yards / Play
3.8
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.11
Passing Yards
174
101
Comp/Att
20/39(51%)
10/19(53%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.38
Rushing Yards
69
135
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
47%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.74
-4.08
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-2
-24
Sack EPA
-0.82
-6.36
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
49
53
Penalty EPA
-5.39
-5.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
27
Yards / Game
29
31
Passing Yards / Game
23
8
Rushing Yards / Game
14
31
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
32
31
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
28
20
Fumbles / Game
5
27
Turnover EPA / Game
6
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
23
4th Down Efficiency
9
30
RZ Efficiency
13
8
Texans Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
30
Yards / Game
31
32
Passing Yards / Game
24
25
Rushing Yards / Game
23
29
EPA
EPA / Play
26
22
EPA / Pass
23
29
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
18
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
9
2
Turnover EPA / Game
20
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
22
4th Down Efficiency
3
4
RZ Efficiency
3
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U