ATLFalcons
7-3
30
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
024
MINVikings
3-8
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Falcons
0
14
7
3
6
30
Vikings
7
7
7
3
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
369
Total Plays
59
81
Yards / Play
6.4
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.09
Passing Yards
152
230
Comp/Att
11/28(39%)
23/43(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.09
Rushing Yards
227
139
Rush Attempts
29
32
Yards / Rush
7.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.26
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
30%
37%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
19
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-13.78
-4.34
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-21
-36
Sack EPA
-7.48
-8.14
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
34
95
Penalty EPA
-3.88
-8.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Falcons Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
30
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
19
19
Rushing Yards / Game
4
9
EPA
EPA / Play
8
29
EPA / Pass
14
32
EPA / Rush
8
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
4
Interceptions / Game
5
19
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
24
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
16
4th Down Efficiency
13
2
RZ Efficiency
25
21
Vikings Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
1
19
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
1
18
EPA
EPA / Play
12
7
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
2
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
19
Interceptions / Game
30
3
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
19
10
RZ Efficiency
9
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Falcons
7-2-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U