NYGGiants
4-11
3
TBD
Soldier Field
25°F
13 mph
29
CHIBears
5-10
TBD
Soldier Field
25°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
0
0
3
Bears
14
6
7
0
27
Spread
-6
Total
UNDER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
155
249
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
2.8
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.63
-0.12
Passing Yards
-6
162
Comp/Att
4/11(36%)
18/36(50%)
Yards / Pass
-0.5
4.5
EPA / Pass
-3.23
-0.22
Rushing Yards
161
87
Rush Attempts
40
27
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
2
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
9%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-23.09
-7.14
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-30
-11
Sack EPA
-15.18
-3.33
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
26
35
Penalty EPA
-2.62
-6.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model66.4%
Spread Pick
Giants+6.0
Expected Value
+0.2%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+82
Home nfelo
1,397
Away nfelo
1,357
Home Field
+29.8
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-6.5
Net QB Adjustment
+12.5
Home QB Adjustment
+2.2
Away QB Adjustment
-10.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
118.6
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
M. Glennon
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-10.3
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
21
Yards / Game
31
5
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
23
22
EPA
EPA / Play
31
16
EPA / Pass
31
20
EPA / Rush
24
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
2
Interceptions / Game
29
29
Fumbles / Game
25
11
Turnover EPA / Game
2
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
11
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
32
14
Bears Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
23
Yards / Game
24
21
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
15
25
EPA
EPA / Play
27
20
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
18
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
16
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
20
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
17
4th Down Efficiency
28
29
RZ Efficiency
30
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U