NYGGiants
3-7
19
TBD
Paycor Stadium
52°F
4 mph
17
CINBengals
2-7
TBD
Paycor Stadium
52°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
3
6
19
Bengals
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
155
Total Plays
80
46
Yards / Play
4.8
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.17
Passing Yards
--
115
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.61
Rushing Yards
142
40
Rush Attempts
42
15
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
11
Passing 1st downs
11
5
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
43%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
21
10
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.93
-13.10
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-5.51
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
51
--
Penalty EPA
-6.95
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model71.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-134
Home nfelo
1,393
Away nfelo
1,416
Home Field
+3.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-4.8
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-114.6
Home QB Adjustment
-116.8
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
-39.0
Final Difference
-158.9
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
B. Allen
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-116.8
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
21
Yards / Game
31
25
Passing Yards / Game
26
2
Rushing Yards / Game
19
29
EPA
EPA / Play
28
26
EPA / Pass
27
24
EPA / Rush
19
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
6
Interceptions / Game
11
20
Fumbles / Game
30
24
Turnover EPA / Game
12
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
20
4th Down Efficiency
8
24
RZ Efficiency
31
26
Bengals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
9
Yards / Game
30
12
Passing Yards / Game
27
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
11
EPA
EPA / Play
25
15
EPA / Pass
23
17
EPA / Rush
30
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
2
Interceptions / Game
11
20
Fumbles / Game
27
13
Turnover EPA / Game
6
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
24
4th Down Efficiency
4
22
RZ Efficiency
29
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Bengals
2-7-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U