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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ bengals week 16, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
5-9
22
TBD
Paycor Stadium
24°F
3 mph
23
CINBengals
6-8
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
24°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
13
3
6
22
Bengals
7
3
7
6
23

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
326
233
Total Plays
67
61
Yards / Play
4.9
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.04
Passing Yards
184
170
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.20
Rushing Yards
142
63
Rush Attempts
28
25
Yards / Rush
5.1
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
18
16
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
20%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.08
-7.67
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-17
-16
Sack EPA
-2.56
-3.84
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
85
20
Penalty EPA
-9.39
-2.31

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Bengals Defense
Giants logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
22
21
Yards / Game
23
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
26
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25

EPA

EPA / Play
19
10
EPA / Pass
23
9
EPA / Rush
8
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
26
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
18
6
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
15
4th Down Efficiency
31
6
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Bengals Offense vs Giants Defense
Bengals logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
10
17
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
30
8
Rushing Yards / Game
16
28

EPA

EPA / Play
23
20
EPA / Pass
22
23
EPA / Rush
21
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
3
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
21
6
Turnover EPA / Game
6
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
26
4th Down Efficiency
14
13
RZ Efficiency
19
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/10
16
W
W
P
10/24
-15
L
L
P
10/31
21
W
W
P
11/07
-7
L
L
P
11/14
-3
L
L
P
11/21
-4
L
L
P
11/28
-21
L
L
P
12/05
-24
L
L
P
12/12
-23
L
L
P
12/18
-3
L
W
P
CIN logo

Bengals

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
-17
L
L
P
10/25
13
W
W
P
10/31
-7
L
L
P
11/07
23
W
W
P
11/14
7
W
W
P
11/21
-5
L
L
P
11/28
10
W
W
P
12/05
1
W
W
P
12/12
-7
L
W
P
12/19
-16
L
L
P