NYGGiants
0-2
21
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
76°F
4 mph
15
CLEBrowns
1-1
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
76°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
14
0
0
21
Browns
7
0
0
8
15
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
219
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
4.9
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.32
Passing Yards
228
150
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.51
Rushing Yards
112
69
Rush Attempts
32
18
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-10.37
-9.38
Sacks
2
8
Sack Yards
-8
-48
Sack EPA
-3.20
-17.73
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
68
48
Penalty EPA
-7.75
-5.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+173
Home nfelo
1,520
Away nfelo
1,420
Home Field
+63.1
Base HFA
+46.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.5
Home QB Adjustment
-3.0
Away QB Adjustment
-13.5
Market Regression
+14.1
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-13.5
D. Watson
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-3.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
27
Yards / Game
30
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
10
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
29
9
EPA / Pass
31
21
EPA / Rush
24
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
2
Interceptions / Game
19
32
Fumbles / Game
22
8
Turnover EPA / Game
6
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
32
25
Browns Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
20
Yards / Game
28
23
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
22
EPA / Pass
32
29
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
32
31
Fumbles / Game
17
8
Turnover EPA / Game
1
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
19
4th Down Efficiency
18
16
RZ Efficiency
27
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
8-2
O/U