NYGGiants
2-0
24
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
12 mph
0
TBBuccaneers
0-2
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
7
3
7
24
Buccaneers
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
397
86
Total Plays
76
36
Yards / Play
5.2
2.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.47
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
11/26(42%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.43
-0.64
Rushing Yards
226
28
Rush Attempts
49
10
Yards / Rush
4.6
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
5
Passing 1st downs
12
2
Rushing 1st downs
12
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
63%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
10
--
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.24
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
60
25
Penalty EPA
-4.44
-3.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model69.0%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+6.5
Expected Value
+1.4%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-106
Home nfelo
1,420
Away nfelo
1,596
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.7
Home QB Adjustment
-2.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.2
Market Regression
+10.6
Final Difference
-138.6
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.2
B. Leftwich
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
27
Yards / Game
9
26
Passing Yards / Game
6
11
Rushing Yards / Game
17
32
EPA
EPA / Play
8
19
EPA / Pass
8
22
EPA / Rush
16
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
10
9
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
12
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
23
4th Down Efficiency
9
26
RZ Efficiency
20
14
Buccaneers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
30
Yards / Game
28
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
13
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13
EPA
EPA / Play
31
30
EPA / Pass
28
23
EPA / Rush
24
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
20
Interceptions / Game
31
22
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
16
4th Down Efficiency
23
27
RZ Efficiency
14
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-0-8
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
2-0-8
O/U