NYGGiants
2-12
0
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
023
ARICardinals
6-8
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
0
0
Cardinals
3
7
6
1
17
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
293
289
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
4.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.57
-0.20
Passing Yards
250
215
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.40
-0.16
Rushing Yards
43
74
Rush Attempts
20
27
Yards / Rush
2.1
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.66
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
--
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
7%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.39
-9.73
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-13
-15
Sack EPA
-10.22
-2.70
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
101
45
Penalty EPA
-8.22
-3.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model64.3%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-3.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+143
Home nfelo
1,441
Away nfelo
1,376
Home Field
+95.3
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.5
Time Adj
+20.0
Net QB Adjustment
-17.1
Home QB Adjustment
-15.3
Away QB Adjustment
+1.8
Market Regression
-13.5
Final Difference
102.5
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-15.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
18
Yards / Game
22
4
Passing Yards / Game
32
24
Rushing Yards / Game
26
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
27
9
EPA / Rush
27
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
3
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
13
23
Turnover EPA / Game
16
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
6
4th Down Efficiency
25
13
RZ Efficiency
24
23
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
27
Yards / Game
23
31
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
30
26
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
29
21
EPA / Rush
31
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
28
15
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
21
4th Down Efficiency
20
4
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U