NYGGiants
4-8
21
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
037
LACChargers
7-5
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
0
14
21
Chargers
7
17
6
7
37
Spread
-9
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
318
423
Total Plays
67
70
Yards / Play
4.7
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.16
Passing Yards
181
271
Comp/Att
17/38(45%)
23/31(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.46
Rushing Yards
137
152
Rush Attempts
27
37
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
26
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.50
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-4
Sack EPA
-4.92
-2.43
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
20
39
Penalty EPA
-1.13
-3.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model77.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+204
Home nfelo
1,528
Away nfelo
1,404
Home Field
+44.6
Base HFA
+37.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+6.8
Net QB Adjustment
+35.6
Home QB Adjustment
+23.1
Away QB Adjustment
-12.5
Market Regression
-30.6
Final Difference
216.8
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
M. Glennon
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-12.5
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
29
Yards / Game
31
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
23
Rushing Yards / Game
23
30
EPA
EPA / Play
31
25
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
27
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
26
1
RZ Efficiency
32
27
Chargers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
4
21
Passing Yards / Game
5
17
Rushing Yards / Game
21
25
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
7
19
EPA / Rush
16
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
21
13
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
17
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U