NYGGiants
-
14
TBD
FedExField
87°F
5 mph
28
WASCommanders
-
TBD
FedExField
87°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
7
0
0
14
Commanders
0
14
1
7
22
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
315
310
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
5.6
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.01
Passing Yards
240
258
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.10
+0.32
Rushing Yards
75
52
Rush Attempts
20
25
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
10
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
10%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.72
-5.73
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-28
-47
Sack EPA
-4.11
-10.37
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
63
25
Penalty EPA
-7.63
-2.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-66
Home nfelo
1,465
Away nfelo
1,561
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-25.7
Home QB Adjustment
-23.1
Away QB Adjustment
+2.6
Market Regression
+66.7
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.6
R. Grossman
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-23.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
8
12
Passing Yards / Game
3
21
Rushing Yards / Game
29
17
EPA
EPA / Play
5
20
EPA / Pass
5
19
EPA / Rush
26
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
16
28
Turnover EPA / Game
29
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
9
6
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
20
Yards / Game
16
22
Passing Yards / Game
8
27
Rushing Yards / Game
27
18
EPA
EPA / Play
22
24
EPA / Pass
22
26
EPA / Rush
15
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
23
Interceptions / Game
29
14
Fumbles / Game
24
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
29
20
RZ Efficiency
28
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U