NYGGiants
5-5
14
TBD
FedExField
46°F
5 mph
20
WASCommanders
4-6
TBD
FedExField
46°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
14
14
Commanders
0
17
0
3
20
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
407
Total Plays
67
66
Yards / Play
5.0
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.06
Passing Yards
299
--
Comp/Att
26/51(51%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.37
Rushing Yards
33
105
Rush Attempts
13
37
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
20%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-11.72
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-22
--
Sack EPA
-6.26
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
35
80
Penalty EPA
-3.04
-9.32
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-80
Home nfelo
1,402
Away nfelo
1,490
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+61.3
Divisional Adj
-27.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-47.7
Surface Adj
+21.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+0.9
Home QB Adjustment
+16.8
Away QB Adjustment
+16.0
Market Regression
+4.1
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.0
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+16.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
19
Yards / Game
6
26
Passing Yards / Game
29
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
10
20
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
9
1
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
22
RZ Efficiency
29
16
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
30
Yards / Game
15
32
Passing Yards / Game
7
13
Rushing Yards / Game
20
24
EPA
EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
6
25
EPA / Rush
28
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
28
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
11
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U