NYG logo
NYG
7-4
16
17
WAS
5-6
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
55°F
1 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
3
0
16
Commanders
7
3
0
7
17

Spread

WAS logo
+3

Total

UNDER
50

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
390
370
Total Plays
63
52
Yards / Play
6.2
7.1
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.18
Passing Yards
273
--
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.24
Rushing Yards
117
207
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
60%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
8
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.40
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.62
--
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
73
56
Penalty EPA
-7.65
-5.36

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model58.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-21
Home nfelo
1,474
Away nfelo
1,605
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+54.6
Home QB Adjustment
+41.3
Away QB Adjustment
-13.4
Market Regression
-42.5
Final Difference
-58.5
Model Spread
+3.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Giants logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
5
22
Yards / Game
16
28
Passing Yards / Game
32
32
Rushing Yards / Game
14
9

EPA

EPA / Play
3
23
EPA / Pass
12
21
EPA / Rush
7
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
21
Interceptions / Game
14
4
Fumbles / Game
13
15
Turnover EPA / Game
24
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
31
4th Down Efficiency
17
23
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Commanders logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
6
10
Yards / Game
9
31
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
1
24

EPA

EPA / Play
7
20
EPA / Pass
6
22
EPA / Rush
2
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
3
3
Fumbles / Game
6
12
Turnover EPA / Game
30
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
30
4th Down Efficiency
6
17
RZ Efficiency
5
4