NYGGiants
9-6
17
TBD
FedExField
37°F
7 mph
14
WASCommanders
6-9
TBD
FedExField
37°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
7
7
0
17
Commanders
0
7
0
7
14
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
385
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
5.3
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.25
Passing Yards
--
318
Comp/Att
17/29(59%)
26/44(59%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.15
Rushing Yards
82
67
Rush Attempts
32
20
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
20
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-3.80
-18.72
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-18
Sack EPA
--
-9.06
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model69.1%
Spread Pick
Giants-4.5
Expected Value
+1.0%
Cover Probability
52.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-172
Home nfelo
1,427
Away nfelo
1,575
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-79.7
Home QB Adjustment
-77.2
Away QB Adjustment
+2.6
Market Regression
-0.7
Final Difference
-139.8
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.6
R. Grossman
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-77.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
22
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
32
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
25
EPA
EPA / Play
21
12
EPA / Pass
14
26
EPA / Rush
27
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
5
Interceptions / Game
31
19
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
8
4th Down Efficiency
32
29
RZ Efficiency
11
13
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
17
Yards / Game
17
7
Passing Yards / Game
4
13
Rushing Yards / Game
30
8
EPA
EPA / Play
28
3
EPA / Pass
25
3
EPA / Rush
19
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
31
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
1
4th Down Efficiency
12
21
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
4-4-2
ATS
4-6
O/U