NYGGiants
-
31
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
036
DALCowboys
-
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
7
7
14
31
Cowboys
3
10
8
3
24
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
478
331
Total Plays
59
75
Yards / Play
8.1
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.06
Passing Yards
428
244
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
36/50(72%)
Yards / Pass
10.2
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.14
Rushing Yards
50
87
Rush Attempts
14
23
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.98
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
18
17
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
55%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-29.93
-4.71
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-19
Sack EPA
-5.74
-3.07
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
52
--
Penalty EPA
-4.46
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model54.9%
Spread Pick
Giants+3.5
Expected Value
+11.0%
Cover Probability
58.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-11
Home nfelo
1,491
Away nfelo
1,557
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+9.9
Home QB Adjustment
+8.2
Away QB Adjustment
-1.8
Market Regression
+8.8
Final Difference
34.1
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.8
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
29
32
Passing Yards / Game
13
25
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
28
24
EPA / Rush
32
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
32
16
Fumbles / Game
31
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
29
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
17
Yards / Game
17
8
Passing Yards / Game
17
2
Rushing Yards / Game
25
12
EPA
EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
3
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
20
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
13
5
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
22
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U