NYGGiants
0-1
37
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
040
DALCowboys
0-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Giants
6
7
3
21
0
37
Cowboys
0
10
7
20
3
40
Spread
+4.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
506
478
Total Plays
65
83
Yards / Play
7.8
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.19
Passing Yards
422
343
Comp/Att
30/41(73%)
38/52(73%)
Yards / Pass
10.3
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.42
+0.19
Rushing Yards
84
135
Rush Attempts
21
28
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
32
Passing 1st downs
15
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
43%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.28
-3.88
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-28
-18
Sack EPA
-4.93
-4.66
Penalties
14
12
Penalty Yards
160
106
Penalty EPA
-10.76
-7.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+126
Home nfelo
1,477
Away nfelo
1,364
Home Field
+14.3
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
-17.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-6.9
Net QB Adjustment
-1.4
Home QB Adjustment
+9.0
Away QB Adjustment
+10.4
Market Regression
-25.4
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+10.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
20
32
Passing Yards / Game
9
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
20
EPA
EPA / Play
20
32
EPA / Pass
27
32
EPA / Rush
24
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
17
24
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
25
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
32
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
1
29
Passing Yards / Game
6
29
Rushing Yards / Game
12
29
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
6
14
EPA / Rush
9
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
4
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
8
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U