NYGGiants
1-3
20
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
044
DALCowboys
3-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
3
7
20
Cowboys
3
14
10
11
38
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
53
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
367
515
Total Plays
64
74
Yards / Play
5.7
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.14
+0.24
Passing Yards
--
314
Comp/Att
21/39(54%)
23/33(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.5
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.35
Rushing Yards
73
201
Rush Attempts
25
39
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.22
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
26
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
31%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-12.19
-8.88
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-2.62
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
48
58
Penalty EPA
-6.64
-4.21
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+158
Home nfelo
1,555
Away nfelo
1,424
Home Field
+30.5
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
-2.9
Home QB Adjustment
+20.2
Away QB Adjustment
+23.1
Market Regression
-14.3
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+23.1
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+20.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
8
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
23
20
EPA
EPA / Play
31
2
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
24
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
29
1
Fumbles / Game
25
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
2
4th Down Efficiency
26
25
RZ Efficiency
32
21
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
23
Yards / Game
2
21
Passing Yards / Game
7
17
Rushing Yards / Game
9
25
EPA
EPA / Play
6
20
EPA / Pass
4
19
EPA / Rush
20
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
16
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
17
4th Down Efficiency
12
29
RZ Efficiency
5
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U