NYGGiants
2-9
20
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
027
DALCowboys
4-7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
0
10
20
Cowboys
3
4
14
0
21
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
247
317
Total Plays
59
68
Yards / Play
4.2
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.08
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.65
-0.08
Rushing Yards
116
122
Rush Attempts
21
32
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.35
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.88
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-47
--
Sack EPA
-14.13
--
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
98
48
Penalty EPA
-12.00
-3.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model60.0%
Spread Pick
Giants+4.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+20
Home nfelo
1,465
Away nfelo
1,377
Home Field
+29.4
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
-18.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
-96.9
Home QB Adjustment
-73.4
Away QB Adjustment
+23.5
Market Regression
-2.4
Final Difference
70.3
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
P. Lock
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+23.5
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-73.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
31
Yards / Game
30
28
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29
EPA
EPA / Play
29
27
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
32
32
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
27
26
EPA
EPA / Play
25
22
EPA / Pass
29
29
EPA / Rush
30
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
21
31
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
16
RZ Efficiency
31
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U