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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ cowboys week 13, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
2-9
20
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
27
DALCowboys
4-7
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
0
10
20
Cowboys
3
4
14
0
21

Spread

DAL logo
-4.5

Total

OVER
38.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
247
317
Total Plays
59
68
Yards / Play
4.2
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.08
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.65
-0.08
Rushing Yards
116
122
Rush Attempts
21
32
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.35
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.88
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-47
--
Sack EPA
-14.13
--
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
98
48
Penalty EPA
-12.00
-3.55

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model59.1%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants+4.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+17
Home nfelo
1,463
Away nfelo
1,379
Home Field
+30.0
Base HFA
+41.3
Divisional Adj
-18.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-96.9
Home QB Adjustment
-73.4
Away QB Adjustment
+23.5
Market Regression
+0.7
Final Difference
64.0
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

P. Lock headshot

P. Lock

Proj. Value
-0.7
Team Elo Adj
+23.5
Value
Ptile
12/06
-4.0
20
12/13
6.0
83
12/19
-2.1
28
12/27
-4.9
16
01/03
2.1
59
12/26
-4.9
20
01/02
1.5
64
01/08
0.7
58
12/10
-1.5
39
12/18
-1.1
42
C. Rush headshot

C. Rush

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-73.4
Value
Ptile
10/31
0.4
56
09/18
0.3
55
09/26
1.5
64
10/02
0.2
54
10/09
-6.8
10
10/16
-7.6
7
11/10
-6.7
9
11/18
-2.6
30
11/24
3.3
71

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Giants logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
31
31
Yards / Game
30
28
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29

EPA

EPA / Play
29
27
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
24
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
32
32
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Cowboys logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
27
26

EPA

EPA / Play
25
22
EPA / Pass
29
29
EPA / Rush
30
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
21
31
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
16
RZ Efficiency
31
10

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
-3
L
L
U
09/22
6
W
W
U
09/26
-5
L
W
U
10/06
9
W
W
O
10/13
-10
L
L
U
10/20
-25
L
L
U
10/28
-8
L
L
O
11/03
-5
L
L
O
11/10
-3
L
L
U
11/24
-23
L
L
U
DAL logo

Cowboys

3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
-25
L
L
O
09/22
-3
L
L
O
09/26
5
W
L
U
10/06
3
W
W
U
10/13
-38
L
L
O
10/27
-6
L
L
O
11/03
-6
L
L
U
11/10
-28
L
L
U
11/18
-24
L
L
O
11/24
8
W
W
O