NYGGiants
1-1
29
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
76°F
5 mph
16
PHIEagles
1-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
76°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
14
0
0
15
29
Eagles
0
13
3
0
16
Spread
+8
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
376
Total Plays
52
72
Yards / Play
6.5
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.31
-0.00
Passing Yards
232
199
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
10.1
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-0.11
Rushing Yards
104
177
Rush Attempts
26
40
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
25
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.88
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-22
-12
Sack EPA
-5.28
-2.42
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
--
36
Penalty EPA
--
-4.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model75.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+146
Home nfelo
1,611
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+23.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.6
Away QB Adjustment
-4.9
Market Regression
-5.4
Final Difference
197.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-4.9
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
9
Yards / Game
8
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
15
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16
EPA
EPA / Play
5
12
EPA / Pass
5
10
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
16
4
Turnover EPA / Game
29
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
12
4th Down Efficiency
25
14
RZ Efficiency
9
27
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
20
Yards / Game
5
22
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
5
18
EPA
EPA / Play
8
24
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
23
Interceptions / Game
31
14
Fumbles / Game
21
11
Turnover EPA / Game
3
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
16
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U