NYGGiants
0-2
24
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
89°F
6 mph
27
PHIEagles
1-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
89°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
24
24
Eagles
0
7
7
13
27
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
354
Total Plays
64
73
Yards / Play
6.5
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.04
Passing Yards
--
161
Comp/Att
35/47(74%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.28
Rushing Yards
49
193
Rush Attempts
17
39
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.44
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
17
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
30%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.48
-5.25
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-4.52
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
137
103
Penalty EPA
-7.37
-7.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+144
Home nfelo
1,561
Away nfelo
1,483
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+14.0
Home QB Adjustment
+1.9
Away QB Adjustment
-12.1
Market Regression
+7.1
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-12.1
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
22
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
26
Rushing Yards / Game
26
1
EPA
EPA / Play
32
5
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
27
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
22
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
16
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
2
RZ Efficiency
24
12
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
27
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
3
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
18
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
11
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
19
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
22
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
21
4th Down Efficiency
3
4
RZ Efficiency
2
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U