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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ eagles week 7, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
1-5
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
4 mph
22
PHIEagles
1-4
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
7
7
21
Eagles
7
3
0
12
22

Spread

NYG logo
+5

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
325
442
Total Plays
55
74
Yards / Play
5.9
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.03
Passing Yards
165
346
Comp/Att
20/30(67%)
25/44(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.12
Rushing Yards
160
96
Rush Attempts
22
27
Yards / Rush
7.3
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
30%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
38%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
8
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.62
-4.02
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-13
Sack EPA
-5.79
-3.50
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
62
75
Penalty EPA
-8.28
-10.53

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0

Win Probability

Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,481
Away nfelo
1,392
Home Field
+5.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+2.3
Home QB Adjustment
-11.0
Away QB Adjustment
-13.3
Market Regression
-0.0
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0

Quarterbacks

D. Jones headshot

D. Jones

Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-13.3
Value
Ptile
11/24
1.8
66
12/01
-5.8
16
12/22
10.5
97
12/29
-1.7
40
09/14
0.3
48
09/20
-4.0
19
09/27
-3.7
20
10/04
-5.0
15
10/11
-4.8
16
10/18
-1.0
38
C. Wentz headshot

C. Wentz

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.0
Value
Ptile
12/15
5.0
83
12/22
6.1
87
12/29
0.4
55
01/05
-9.0
6
09/13
-9.9
3
09/20
-0.8
38
09/27
0.0
46
10/04
-0.3
44
10/11
-4.1
18
10/18
0.4
49

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
26
29
Rushing Yards / Game
19
22

EPA

EPA / Play
28
12
EPA / Pass
27
15
EPA / Rush
19
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
1
Interceptions / Game
11
29
Fumbles / Game
30
6
Turnover EPA / Game
12
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
25
12
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
10
11

EPA

EPA / Play
29
15
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
14
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
31
20
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
24
4th Down Efficiency
26
22
RZ Efficiency
13
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-6
L
W
U
12/15
16
W
W
O
12/22
6
W
W
O
12/29
-17
L
L
O
09/14
-10
L
L
U
09/20
-4
L
W
U
09/27
-27
L
L
O
10/04
-8
L
W
U
10/11
-3
L
W
O
10/18
1
W
L
U
PHI logo

Eagles

4-5-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
10
W
W
O
12/22
8
W
W
U
12/29
17
W
W
O
01/05
-8
L
L
U
09/13
-10
L
L
O
09/20
-18
L
L
O
09/27
0
T
L
U
10/04
5
W
W
U
10/11
-9
L
L
O
10/18
-2
L
W
O