NYGGiants
1-5
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
4 mph
22
PHIEagles
1-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
7
7
21
Eagles
7
3
0
12
22
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
442
Total Plays
55
74
Yards / Play
5.9
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.03
Passing Yards
165
346
Comp/Att
20/30(67%)
25/44(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.12
Rushing Yards
160
96
Rush Attempts
22
27
Yards / Rush
7.3
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
30%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
38%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.62
-4.02
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-13
Sack EPA
-5.79
-3.50
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
62
75
Penalty EPA
-8.28
-10.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,482
Away nfelo
1,394
Home Field
+5.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+2.3
Home QB Adjustment
-11.0
Away QB Adjustment
-13.3
Market Regression
+0.1
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-13.3
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-11.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
26
29
Rushing Yards / Game
19
22
EPA
EPA / Play
28
12
EPA / Pass
27
15
EPA / Rush
19
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
1
Interceptions / Game
11
29
Fumbles / Game
30
6
Turnover EPA / Game
12
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
8
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
25
12
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
10
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
15
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
14
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
31
20
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
24
4th Down Efficiency
26
22
RZ Efficiency
13
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
4-5-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U