NYGGiants
6-3
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
45°F
7 mph
27
PHIEagles
6-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
45°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
7
7
17
Eagles
7
6
3
11
27
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
208
394
Total Plays
52
68
Yards / Play
4.0
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.04
Passing Yards
--
246
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.02
Rushing Yards
61
148
Rush Attempts
19
26
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.46
+0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
45%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
67%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-10.06
-4.05
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-6.80
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
54
119
Penalty EPA
-5.17
-12.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model60.7%
Spread Pick
Giants+3.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+25
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.1
Home QB Adjustment
+14.2
Away QB Adjustment
+21.4
Market Regression
+10.3
Final Difference
75.7
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.4
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+14.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
21
Yards / Game
4
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
23
Rushing Yards / Game
6
15
EPA
EPA / Play
21
24
EPA / Pass
14
23
EPA / Rush
27
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
31
3
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
32
9
RZ Efficiency
11
32
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
17
Yards / Game
2
7
Passing Yards / Game
3
13
Rushing Yards / Game
5
8
EPA
EPA / Play
5
3
EPA / Pass
11
3
EPA / Rush
1
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
31
Interceptions / Game
12
14
Fumbles / Game
20
1
Turnover EPA / Game
25
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
1
4th Down Efficiency
1
21
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U