NYGGiants
2-10
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
11 mph
23
PHIEagles
5-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Giants
0
17
0
0
0
17
Eagles
0
3
7
7
6
23
Spread
+9
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
418
Total Plays
52
85
Yards / Play
4.9
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.01
Passing Yards
182
300
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
33/50(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.08
Rushing Yards
73
118
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
27
Passing 1st downs
6
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
17%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
21
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.39
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-21
-25
Sack EPA
-3.64
-4.27
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
54
30
Penalty EPA
-6.00
-3.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-8.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model77.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+194
Home nfelo
1,512
Away nfelo
1,351
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+47.9
Divisional Adj
-21.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-10.6
Home QB Adjustment
-6.1
Away QB Adjustment
+4.5
Market Regression
+8.9
Final Difference
216.8
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
15
Yards / Game
23
10
Passing Yards / Game
16
28
Rushing Yards / Game
19
3
EPA
EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
27
20
EPA / Rush
11
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
16
Interceptions / Game
25
24
Fumbles / Game
32
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
5
4th Down Efficiency
18
27
RZ Efficiency
17
14
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
30
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
8
17
Rushing Yards / Game
11
20
EPA
EPA / Play
12
24
EPA / Pass
17
28
EPA / Rush
15
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
13
Interceptions / Game
5
25
Fumbles / Game
28
28
Turnover EPA / Game
19
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
20
4th Down Efficiency
30
24
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U