NYGGiants
10-4
19
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
10 mph
24
PHIEagles
5-9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
3
3
19
Eagles
8
7
0
3
18
Spread
-1
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
470
286
Total Plays
88
55
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
38/63(60%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.02
Rushing Yards
114
118
Rush Attempts
25
30
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
15
Passing 1st downs
17
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
45%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
22
12
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-11.63
-1.29
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
1
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-6.81
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+22
Home nfelo
1,512
Away nfelo
1,541
Home Field
+51.6
Base HFA
+57.5
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-0.3
Home QB Adjustment
-10.8
Away QB Adjustment
-10.6
Market Regression
+33.5
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.6
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-10.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
11
Yards / Game
23
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
15
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
21
8
Fumbles / Game
23
17
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
19
4th Down Efficiency
14
11
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
4
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
9
2
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
13
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
30
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
7
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
15
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U