NYGGiants
4-10
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
9 mph
34
PHIEagles
7-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
0
7
10
Eagles
0
3
17
8
28
Spread
-11
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
192
324
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
2.6
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.42
-0.06
Passing Yards
108
194
Comp/Att
23/44(52%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
2.5
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.46
+0.04
Rushing Yards
84
130
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
40%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
20
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.63
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-10
-5
Sack EPA
-4.10
-1.76
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
40
79
Penalty EPA
-5.08
-12.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-11.0
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market81.7%
Model81.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+267
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,367
Home Field
+20.1
Base HFA
+36.5
Divisional Adj
-16.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+73.2
Home QB Adjustment
+8.0
Away QB Adjustment
-65.2
Market Regression
+24.5
Final Difference
259.9
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
W. Fromm
Proj. Value
-6.0
Team Elo Adj
-65.2
No recent game data available
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
9
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
23
EPA / Rush
24
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
26
Interceptions / Game
29
21
Fumbles / Game
25
31
Turnover EPA / Game
2
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
23
4th Down Efficiency
26
9
RZ Efficiency
32
29
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
23
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
25
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
14
19
EPA / Rush
3
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
16
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U