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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ eagles week 18, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
9-6
16
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
12 mph
22
PHIEagles
13-3
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
3
13
16
Eagles
10
6
3
3
22

Spread

NYG logo
+16.5

Total

UNDER
42.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
284
342
Total Plays
64
72
Yards / Play
4.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.06
Passing Yards
155
207
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.13
Rushing Yards
129
135
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
29%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.81
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-22
Sack EPA
-4.76
-3.09
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
66
30
Penalty EPA
-7.66
-4.05

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-16.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-16.5

Win Probability

Market90.4%
Model90.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+350
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,428
Home Field
+38.1
Base HFA
+42.5
Divisional Adj
-19.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+135.4
Home QB Adjustment
+43.9
Away QB Adjustment
-91.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
389.6
Model Spread
-16.5

Quarterbacks

D. Webb headshot

D. Webb

Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-91.4
No recent game data available
J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
+43.9
Value
Ptile
10/09
6.1
89
10/16
-0.7
47
10/30
5.6
88
11/03
2.1
69
11/14
2.1
69
11/20
5.0
85
11/27
9.0
95
12/04
10.8
97
12/11
6.7
91
12/18
5.3
86

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
18
7
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
16

EPA

EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
3
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
12
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
5
17
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
25
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28

EPA

EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
6
21
EPA / Rush
1
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
5
Interceptions / Game
3
32
Fumbles / Game
17
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
3
10

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

4-5-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/23
6
W
W
U
10/30
-14
L
L
U
11/13
8
W
W
U
11/20
-13
L
L
O
11/24
-8
L
W
O
12/04
0
T
W
P
12/11
-26
L
L
O
12/18
8
W
W
U
12/24
-3
L
W
O
01/01
28
W
W
O
PHI logo

Eagles

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/30
22
W
W
O
11/03
12
W
L
O
11/14
-11
L
L
O
11/20
1
W
L
U
11/27
7
W
W
O
12/04
25
W
W
O
12/11
26
W
W
O
12/18
5
W
L
U
12/24
-6
L
L
O
01/01
-10
L
L
U