NYGGiants
9-6
16
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
12 mph
22
PHIEagles
13-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
43°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
3
13
16
Eagles
10
6
3
3
22
Spread
+16.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
284
342
Total Plays
64
72
Yards / Play
4.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.06
Passing Yards
155
207
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.13
Rushing Yards
129
135
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
29%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.81
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-22
Sack EPA
-4.76
-3.09
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
66
30
Penalty EPA
-7.66
-4.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-16.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-16.5
Win Probability
Market90.4%
Model90.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+353
Home nfelo
1,607
Away nfelo
1,428
Home Field
+37.8
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+135.4
Home QB Adjustment
+43.9
Away QB Adjustment
-91.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
389.6
Model Spread
-16.5
Quarterbacks
D. Webb
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-91.4
No recent game data available
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+43.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
7
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
12
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
5
17
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
25
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
6
21
EPA / Rush
1
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
5
Interceptions / Game
3
32
Fumbles / Game
17
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-5-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U