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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ eagles week 18, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
3-13
13
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
31°F
19 mph
20
PHIEagles
13-3
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
31°F
19 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
3
10
13
Eagles
7
3
0
10
20

Spread

PHI logo
-3

Total

UNDER
36

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
238
303
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
4.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.01
Passing Yards
--
252
Comp/Att
22/29(76%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.30
+0.18
Rushing Yards
100
51
Rush Attempts
25
25
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.0
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.46
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
10
21
Passing 1st downs
4
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
29%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.70
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-4.15
Penalties
6
1
Penalty Yards
40
--
Penalty EPA
-9.53
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model70.6%
Spread Pick
PHI logo
Eagles-3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+17.4%
Cover Probability
58.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+254
Home nfelo
1,667
Away nfelo
1,308
Home Field
+34.7
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
-17.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-140.8
Home QB Adjustment
-118.3
Away QB Adjustment
+22.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
152.1
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

P. Lock headshot

P. Lock

Proj. Value
-0.7
Team Elo Adj
+22.5
Value
Ptile
01/03
2.1
59
12/26
-4.9
20
01/02
1.5
64
01/08
0.7
58
12/10
-1.5
39
12/18
-1.1
42
11/28
-3.1
27
12/08
-4.0
22
12/22
-8.4
4
12/29
10.0
96
T. McKee headshot

T. McKee

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-118.3
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4

EPA

EPA / Play
29
1
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
24
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
12
Interceptions / Game
19
6
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
21
RZ Efficiency
32
6
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
5
20
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
26

EPA

EPA / Play
7
22
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
4
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
10
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
8
8
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
10
10

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/20
-25
L
L
U
10/28
-8
L
L
O
11/03
-5
L
L
O
11/10
-3
L
L
U
11/24
-23
L
L
U
11/28
-7
L
L
O
12/08
-3
L
W
U
12/15
-21
L
L
O
12/22
-27
L
L
U
12/29
12
W
W
O
PHI logo

Eagles

9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
20
W
W
O
11/03
5
W
L
O
11/10
28
W
W
U
11/14
8
W
W
U
11/24
17
W
W
O
12/01
5
W
W
U
12/08
6
W
L
U
12/15
14
W
W
U
12/22
-3
L
L
O
12/29
34
W
W
O