NYGGiants
10-7
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
6 mph
38
PHIEagles
14-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
7
0
7
Eagles
14
14
0
10
38
Spread
-8
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
227
416
Total Plays
52
69
Yards / Play
4.4
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.31
Passing Yards
109
148
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
16/24(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.54
+0.25
Rushing Yards
118
268
Rush Attempts
20
44
Yards / Rush
5.9
6.1
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
26
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
17
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
71%
3rd Down Conversions
5
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.60
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-26
-6
Sack EPA
-9.25
-1.36
Penalties
1
5
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model76.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+231
Home nfelo
1,601
Away nfelo
1,447
Home Field
+49.8
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
+12.1
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.4
Home QB Adjustment
+43.9
Away QB Adjustment
+38.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
204.3
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+38.6
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+43.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
7
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
12
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
5
17
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
25
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
6
21
EPA / Rush
1
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
5
Interceptions / Game
3
32
Fumbles / Game
17
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-5-1
SU
8-2
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U