NYGGiants
2-12
7
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
034
ATLFalcons
7-7
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
0
0
7
Falcons
0
11
8
3
22
Spread
-9.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
329
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
4.3
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.49
+0.08
Passing Yards
189
--
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.55
+0.24
Rushing Yards
45
127
Rush Attempts
13
38
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
33%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-22.73
-3.87
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-8.81
--
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
85
30
Penalty EPA
-8.55
-6.26
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ATLFalconsFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+183
Home nfelo
1,520
Away nfelo
1,327
Home Field
+39.6
Base HFA
+39.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-49.5
Home QB Adjustment
-31.8
Away QB Adjustment
+17.7
Market Regression
+27.6
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
P. Lock
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.7
M. Penix
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-31.8
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
23
Yards / Game
30
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
15
EPA
EPA / Play
29
23
EPA / Pass
31
28
EPA / Rush
24
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
25
Interceptions / Game
19
16
Fumbles / Game
22
27
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
31
4th Down Efficiency
19
13
RZ Efficiency
32
28
Falcons Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
20
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
26
EPA
EPA / Play
15
22
EPA / Pass
15
29
EPA / Rush
11
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
10
Interceptions / Game
29
31
Fumbles / Game
6
8
Turnover EPA / Game
8
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
19
4th Down Efficiency
5
16
RZ Efficiency
20
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
Falcons
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U