NYGGiants
7-7
29
TBD
MetLife Stadium
35°F
9 mph
14
NYJJets
8-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
35°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
7
10
27
Jets
7
0
0
7
14
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
332
331
Total Plays
55
89
Yards / Play
6.0
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.22
Passing Yards
217
226
Comp/Att
9/27(33%)
30/59(51%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
3.8
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.27
Rushing Yards
115
105
Rush Attempts
26
25
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
22
Passing 1st downs
5
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
27%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
21
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.34
-11.68
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-8
-32
Sack EPA
-2.50
-7.34
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
45
95
Penalty EPA
-10.67
-9.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model64.3%
Spread Pick
Jets-3.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+143
Home nfelo
1,603
Away nfelo
1,513
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-9.4
Home QB Adjustment
-0.7
Away QB Adjustment
+8.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
102.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.7
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
19
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
3
7
Rushing Yards / Game
29
14
EPA
EPA / Play
5
8
EPA / Pass
5
4
EPA / Rush
26
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
13
Interceptions / Game
12
9
Fumbles / Game
16
2
Turnover EPA / Game
29
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
1
RZ Efficiency
9
9
Jets Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
20
Yards / Game
26
22
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
22
18
EPA
EPA / Play
21
24
EPA / Pass
25
26
EPA / Rush
13
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
29
11
Turnover EPA / Game
2
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
20
RZ Efficiency
4
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U