NYGGiants
2-2
16
TBD
Lambeau Field
49°F
7 mph
23
GBPackers
2-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
49°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
6
3
7
16
Packers
7
10
0
6
23
Spread
7
P
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
221
406
Total Plays
54
77
Yards / Play
4.1
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.03
Passing Yards
178
--
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
23/45(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.03
Rushing Yards
43
147
Rush Attempts
15
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
19
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.53
-7.08
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-8.37
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
51
57
Penalty EPA
-0.33
-4.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model73.9%
Spread Pick
Packers-7.0
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+220
Home nfelo
1,593
Away nfelo
1,477
Home Field
+104.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-0.7
Home QB Adjustment
-0.4
Away QB Adjustment
+0.3
Market Regression
-4.4
Final Difference
181.0
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
25
Yards / Game
23
25
Passing Yards / Game
24
29
Rushing Yards / Game
29
10
EPA
EPA / Play
28
31
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
29
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
11
Interceptions / Game
21
8
Fumbles / Game
23
22
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
19
27
Packers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
4
Yards / Game
7
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
3
7
EPA / Pass
3
6
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
30
Interceptions / Game
7
8
Fumbles / Game
12
19
Turnover EPA / Game
28
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
3
4th Down Efficiency
19
15
RZ Efficiency
7
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Packers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U