NYGGiants
2-7
17
TBD
Allianz Arena
70°F
020
CARPanthers
2-7
TBD
Allianz Arena
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Giants
0
0
7
10
0
17
Panthers
7
3
7
0
3
20
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
306
Total Plays
73
58
Yards / Play
4.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.02
Passing Yards
175
118
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.27
Rushing Yards
167
188
Rush Attempts
34
32
Yards / Rush
4.9
5.9
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
15
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
47%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.33
-4.90
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-8
Sack EPA
-4.93
-1.98
Penalties
3
10
Penalty Yards
15
87
Penalty EPA
-1.53
-8.33
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model71.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-158
Home nfelo
1,283
Away nfelo
1,424
Home Field
--
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-17.0
Home QB Adjustment
-19.6
Away QB Adjustment
-2.6
Market Regression
-32.0
Final Difference
-158.9
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.6
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-19.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
32
Yards / Game
30
32
Passing Yards / Game
23
21
Rushing Yards / Game
22
32
EPA
EPA / Play
29
32
EPA / Pass
31
31
EPA / Rush
24
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
19
25
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
32
4th Down Efficiency
19
20
RZ Efficiency
32
29
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
20
Yards / Game
29
23
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
16
26
EPA
EPA / Play
24
22
EPA / Pass
28
29
EPA / Rush
9
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
22
31
Fumbles / Game
13
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
19
4th Down Efficiency
26
16
RZ Efficiency
7
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U