NYGGiants
2-6
6
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
030
OAKRaiders
3-5
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
6
6
Raiders
7
17
3
3
30
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
334
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
4.4
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.45
-0.00
Passing Yards
154
--
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
16/25(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.30
Rushing Yards
123
125
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
25%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.61
--
Sacks
8
--
Sack Yards
-46
--
Sack EPA
-11.89
--
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+64
Home nfelo
1,463
Away nfelo
1,439
Home Field
+74.1
Base HFA
+43.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.2
Time Adj
+15.6
Net QB Adjustment
-34.7
Home QB Adjustment
-58.2
Away QB Adjustment
-23.6
Market Regression
-43.1
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-23.6
A. O'Connell
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-58.2
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
29
14
Passing Yards / Game
29
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
20
EPA
EPA / Play
30
5
EPA / Pass
29
9
EPA / Rush
29
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
15
17
Fumbles / Game
6
21
Turnover EPA / Game
21
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
25
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
31
27
Raiders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
27
27
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
29
EPA
EPA / Play
24
17
EPA / Pass
22
12
EPA / Rush
26
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
1
Interceptions / Game
28
3
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
10
4th Down Efficiency
6
20
RZ Efficiency
24
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U