NYGGiants
2-9
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
58°F
11 mph
24
OAKRaiders
5-6
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
58°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
0
10
17
Raiders
7
3
0
14
24
Spread
+9.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
401
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
4.3
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.01
Passing Yards
200
282
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.20
Rushing Yards
65
119
Rush Attempts
24
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
36%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-9.95
-3.18
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-12
-5
Sack EPA
-11.45
-1.18
Penalties
1
6
Penalty Yards
--
42
Penalty EPA
--
-5.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+230
Home nfelo
1,477
Away nfelo
1,391
Home Field
+95.0
Base HFA
+55.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
+19.9
Net QB Adjustment
+49.6
Home QB Adjustment
+7.8
Away QB Adjustment
-41.8
Market Regression
+30.5
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-41.8
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
20
Yards / Game
22
24
Passing Yards / Game
32
23
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
32
31
EPA / Pass
27
31
EPA / Rush
27
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
30
Interceptions / Game
20
32
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
16
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
25
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
24
8
Raiders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
27
Yards / Game
18
31
Passing Yards / Game
30
7
Rushing Yards / Game
25
26
EPA
EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
16
21
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
19
Interceptions / Game
20
15
Fumbles / Game
31
23
Turnover EPA / Game
13
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
21
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U