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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ raiders week 17, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    Team Power Ratings
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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NYG logo
NYGGiants
2-13
34
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0
10
OAKRaiders
2-13
OAK logo
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
10
10
7
34
Raiders
0
3
7
0
10

Spread

NYG logo
-3

Total

OVER
40.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
343
231
Total Plays
63
54
Yards / Play
5.4
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.33
-0.16
Passing Yards
188
168
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.20
Rushing Yards
155
63
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.37
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
22
14
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
46%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-11.66
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-19
-24
Sack EPA
-3.16
-7.10
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
58
41
Penalty EPA
+4.82
-5.01

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-0.5

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model51.0%
Spread Pick
OAK logo
Raiders+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+9.1%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+45
Home nfelo
1,355
Away nfelo
1,382
Home Field
+68.0
Base HFA
+44.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.5
Time Adj
+8.0
Net QB Adjustment
+4.5
Home QB Adjustment
-15.4
Away QB Adjustment
-19.9
Market Regression
-29.1
Final Difference
-6.8
Model Spread
+0.5

Quarterbacks

J. Dart headshot

J. Dart

Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-19.9
Value
Ptile
09/28
-1.6
38
10/05
1.2
60
10/09
4.4
80
10/19
0.7
56
10/26
-2.4
34
11/02
6.4
90
11/09
7.0
92
12/01
-1.3
40
12/14
3.1
73
12/21
-10.9
2
E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-15.4
Value
Ptile
10/05
-7.1
8
10/12
-4.2
22
10/19
-5.7
14
11/02
4.7
82
11/06
-8.7
4
11/17
-4.5
20
11/23
-4.5
20
11/30
-4.0
24
12/07
-2.9
30
12/21
-0.0
51

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Raiders Defense
Giants logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
15
16
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
6
18

EPA

EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
23
26
EPA / Rush
6
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
1
Interceptions / Game
11
24
Fumbles / Game
6
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
32
4th Down Efficiency
26
21
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Raiders Offense vs Giants Defense
Raiders logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
32
26
Yards / Game
32
29
Passing Yards / Game
22
20
Rushing Yards / Game
32
30

EPA

EPA / Play
31
27
EPA / Pass
28
18
EPA / Rush
32
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
10
Interceptions / Game
30
24
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
4
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
29
30
RZ Efficiency
25
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/09
17
W
W
O
10/19
-1
L
W
O
10/26
-18
L
L
O
11/02
-10
L
L
O
11/09
-4
L
W
U
11/16
-7
L
W
O
11/23
-7
L
W
O
12/01
-18
L
L
O
12/14
-8
L
L
O
12/21
-3
L
L
U
OAK logo

Raiders

1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/12
10
W
W
U
10/19
-31
L
L
U
11/02
-1
L
W
O
11/06
-3
L
W
U
11/17
-17
L
L
O
11/23
-14
L
L
U
11/30
-17
L
L
O
12/07
-7
L
W
O
12/14
-31
L
L
U
12/21
-2
L
W
O