NYGGiants
0-3
9
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
017
LARRams
2-1
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
6
0
3
9
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
+13.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
295
240
Total Plays
66
57
Yards / Play
4.5
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.12
Passing Yards
159
182
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.18
Rushing Yards
136
58
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.39
-5.00
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-18
Sack EPA
-7.62
-4.15
Penalties
4
1
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-13.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-12.0
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model83.7%
Spread Pick
Giants+13.5
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+175
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,400
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+20.3
Home QB Adjustment
+13.6
Away QB Adjustment
-6.7
Market Regression
+17.6
Final Difference
283.6
Model Spread
-12.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
2
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
4
EPA
EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
19
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
23
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
30
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
17
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
26
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11
EPA
EPA / Play
26
15
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
24
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
16
20
Fumbles / Game
19
13
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
24
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
18
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U