nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ rams week 4, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
0-3
9
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0
17
LARRams
2-1
LAR logo
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
6
0
3
9
Rams
7
3
0
7
17

Spread

NYG logo
+13.5

Total

UNDER
49.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
295
240
Total Plays
66
57
Yards / Play
4.5
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.12
Passing Yards
159
182
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.18
Rushing Yards
136
58
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.39
-5.00
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-18
Sack EPA
-7.62
-4.15
Penalties
4
1
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-13.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-12.0

Win Probability

Market86.2%
Model83.7%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants+13.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+175
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,400
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+20.3
Home QB Adjustment
+13.6
Away QB Adjustment
-6.7
Market Regression
+17.6
Final Difference
283.6
Model Spread
-12.0

Quarterbacks

D. Jones headshot

D. Jones

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
Value
Ptile
10/27
6.1
87
11/04
-2.4
35
11/10
1.4
64
11/24
1.8
66
12/01
-5.8
16
12/22
10.5
97
12/29
-1.7
40
09/14
0.3
48
09/20
-4.0
19
09/27
-3.7
20
J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
Value
Ptile
11/17
-3.3
29
11/25
-4.1
25
12/01
7.3
91
12/08
1.3
63
12/15
0.4
54
12/21
3.6
76
12/29
4.2
79
09/13
-1.1
36
09/20
5.9
83
09/27
5.5
80

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Giants logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
31
2
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
4

EPA

EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
27
1
EPA / Rush
19
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
23
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
30
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Rams logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
17
12
Passing Yards / Game
16
26
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11

EPA

EPA / Play
26
15
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
24
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
16
20
Fumbles / Game
19
13
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
24
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
18
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
-7
L
L
O
11/24
-5
L
W
U
12/01
-18
L
L
O
12/09
-6
L
W
U
12/15
16
W
W
O
12/22
6
W
W
O
12/29
-17
L
L
O
09/14
-10
L
L
U
09/20
-4
L
W
U
09/27
-27
L
L
O
LAR logo

Rams

6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/17
10
W
W
U
11/25
-39
L
L
O
12/01
27
W
W
U
12/08
16
W
W
U
12/15
-23
L
L
O
12/21
-3
L
W
O
12/29
7
W
P
O
09/13
3
W
W
U
09/20
18
W
W
O
09/27
-3
L
L
O