NYGGiants
3-3
17
TBD
Twickenham Stadium
55°F
12 mph
10
LARRams
3-3
TBD
Twickenham Stadium
55°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
4
0
7
11
Rams
10
0
0
0
10
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
232
345
Total Plays
57
76
Yards / Play
4.1
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
271
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
32/53(60%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.30
Rushing Yards
36
74
Rush Attempts
20
20
Yards / Rush
1.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
20
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
19
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.69
-19.77
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-20
Sack EPA
--
-4.26
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
--
43
Penalty EPA
--
-4.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model56.5%
Spread Pick
Rams+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-8
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,490
Home Field
-10.7
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
-30.6
Net QB Adjustment
+2.1
Home QB Adjustment
+4.8
Away QB Adjustment
+2.7
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
-45.4
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+4.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
22
Yards / Game
23
9
Passing Yards / Game
24
13
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16
EPA
EPA / Play
28
17
EPA / Pass
24
18
EPA / Rush
29
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
2
Interceptions / Game
21
22
Fumbles / Game
23
20
Turnover EPA / Game
14
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
32
RZ Efficiency
19
31
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
4
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
31
2
EPA
EPA / Play
32
7
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
31
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
30
Interceptions / Game
30
8
Fumbles / Game
16
19
Turnover EPA / Game
1
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
24
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U