NYGGiants
5-9
37
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
027
LARRams
6-8
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
10
10
14
3
37
Rams
3
10
7
7
27
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
514
387
Total Plays
67
54
Yards / Play
7.7
7.2
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.05
Passing Yards
386
281
Comp/Att
25/32(78%)
24/32(75%)
Yards / Pass
12.1
8.8
EPA / Pass
+0.84
+0.07
Rushing Yards
128
106
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
47%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
6
Red Zone %
43%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
7
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-17.05
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-9
Sack EPA
-1.69
-4.17
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
149
76
Penalty EPA
-12.34
-10.26
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+150
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,458
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-21.2
Home QB Adjustment
+2.0
Away QB Adjustment
+23.2
Market Regression
+32.6
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.2
S. Hill
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
16
Yards / Game
11
18
Passing Yards / Game
12
9
Rushing Yards / Game
23
14
EPA
EPA / Play
16
6
EPA / Pass
13
12
EPA / Rush
26
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
8
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
9
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
15
4th Down Efficiency
31
1
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
22
Yards / Game
27
29
Passing Yards / Game
25
31
Rushing Yards / Game
20
30
EPA
EPA / Play
28
20
EPA / Pass
28
16
EPA / Rush
29
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
23
Interceptions / Game
19
11
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
2
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
4
4th Down Efficiency
22
9
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U