NYGGiants
8-6
14
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
51°F
7 mph
33
BALRavens
9-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
51°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
0
7
14
Ravens
14
10
3
6
33
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
533
Total Plays
45
81
Yards / Play
4.1
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.27
Passing Yards
119
--
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.59
Rushing Yards
67
224
Rush Attempts
14
45
Yards / Rush
4.8
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
25
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
20%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
2
11
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-31
--
Sack EPA
-4.26
--
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
52
92
Penalty EPA
-6.17
-7.79
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model53.9%
Spread Pick
Ravens+2.5
Expected Value
+1.5%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+3
Home nfelo
1,528
Away nfelo
1,603
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.3
Home QB Adjustment
-2.8
Away QB Adjustment
-18.1
Market Regression
-27.3
Final Difference
-27.3
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-18.1
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
12
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
25
Rushing Yards / Game
14
22
EPA
EPA / Play
3
16
EPA / Pass
12
14
EPA / Rush
7
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
19
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
24
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
11
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
13
1
Ravens Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
10
Yards / Game
11
31
Passing Yards / Game
17
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
13
22
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
32
Interceptions / Game
4
3
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
30
4th Down Efficiency
26
17
RZ Efficiency
6
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
6-4
O/U