NYGGiants
5-8
6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
024
NOSaints
6-7
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
3
0
0
6
Saints
7
0
10
7
24
Spread
-6
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
193
296
Total Plays
61
58
Yards / Play
3.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.09
Passing Yards
133
209
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
23/29(79%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.32
Rushing Yards
60
87
Rush Attempts
16
28
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
20
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
13%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-57
-9
Sack EPA
-11.52
-2.44
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
32
58
Penalty EPA
-6.56
-10.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model69.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+136
Home nfelo
1,476
Away nfelo
1,421
Home Field
+37.2
Base HFA
+45.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.1
Net QB Adjustment
+44.5
Home QB Adjustment
-6.5
Away QB Adjustment
-51.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
141.4
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
T. DeVito
Proj. Value
-2.9
Team Elo Adj
-51.0
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-6.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
6
Yards / Game
29
13
Passing Yards / Game
29
16
Rushing Yards / Game
16
22
EPA
EPA / Play
30
3
EPA / Pass
29
5
EPA / Rush
29
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
24
Interceptions / Game
15
3
Fumbles / Game
6
8
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
4
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
31
9
Saints Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
13
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
5
Rushing Yards / Game
21
29
EPA
EPA / Play
19
17
EPA / Pass
14
12
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
1
Interceptions / Game
10
3
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
26
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
20
RZ Efficiency
18
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U