NYGGiants
1-3
29
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
3 mph
20
SEASeahawks
3-1
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
10
3
23
Seahawks
1
3
3
7
14
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
420
333
Total Plays
72
58
Yards / Play
5.8
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.24
Passing Yards
245
231
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
28/40(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.24
Rushing Yards
175
102
Rush Attempts
35
11
Yards / Rush
5.0
9.3
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
44%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-11.45
-4.72
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-12
-53
Sack EPA
-4.61
-12.88
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
20
30
Penalty EPA
+1.84
-5.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+188
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,432
Home Field
+62.9
Base HFA
+46.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+16.6
Net QB Adjustment
+10.7
Home QB Adjustment
+9.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.6
Market Regression
+29.6
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-1.6
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
13
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
22
16
EPA
EPA / Play
29
10
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
24
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
6
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
10
4th Down Efficiency
19
6
RZ Efficiency
32
8
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
20
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
4
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
26
EPA
EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
21
29
EPA / Rush
18
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
10
Interceptions / Game
26
31
Fumbles / Game
6
8
Turnover EPA / Game
10
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
19
4th Down Efficiency
21
16
RZ Efficiency
14
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U