NYGGiants
2-1
10
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
024
MINVikings
3-0
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
0
7
10
Vikings
7
7
3
7
24
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
366
Total Plays
63
69
Yards / Play
5.4
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.03
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
25/45(56%)
26/36(72%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.28
+0.21
Rushing Yards
78
104
Rush Attempts
18
33
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
22
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
17%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.92
+5.71
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
69
37
Penalty EPA
-9.02
-7.56
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model69.1%
Spread Pick
Vikings-4.0
Expected Value
+4.0%
Cover Probability
52.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+178
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,482
Home Field
+67.5
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
+33.1
Home QB Adjustment
+36.0
Away QB Adjustment
+2.9
Market Regression
+4.2
Final Difference
139.8
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.9
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+36.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
5
Yards / Game
23
3
Passing Yards / Game
24
4
Rushing Yards / Game
29
19
EPA
EPA / Play
28
4
EPA / Pass
24
2
EPA / Rush
29
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
15
4th Down Efficiency
14
2
RZ Efficiency
19
13
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
4
Yards / Game
28
13
Passing Yards / Game
30
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
2
EPA
EPA / Play
23
7
EPA / Pass
14
6
EPA / Rush
32
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
30
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
29
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
3
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
9-1
ATS
4-6
O/U