NYGGiants
6-8
17
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
13°F
8 mph
49
MINVikings
9-5
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
13°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
7
7
17
Vikings
3
10
13
17
43
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
363
368
Total Plays
58
68
Yards / Play
6.3
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.18
Passing Yards
272
150
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.53
-0.08
Rushing Yards
91
218
Rush Attempts
20
40
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-18.91
--
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-30
-18
Sack EPA
-5.76
-4.83
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
48
10
Penalty EPA
-5.56
-1.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model69.2%
Spread Pick
Giants+7.0
Expected Value
+6.1%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+108
Home nfelo
1,526
Away nfelo
1,483
Home Field
+69.7
Base HFA
+59.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.6
Net QB Adjustment
-4.5
Home QB Adjustment
+15.2
Away QB Adjustment
+19.7
Market Regression
+3.5
Final Difference
140.7
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.7
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+15.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
5
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
29
26
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17
EPA
EPA / Play
7
12
EPA / Pass
10
11
EPA / Rush
21
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
17
16
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
14
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
29
32
Passing Yards / Game
31
13
Rushing Yards / Game
5
24
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
24
25
EPA / Rush
4
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
4
10
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
25
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U