nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ vikings week 16, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
6-8
17
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
13°F
8 mph
49
MINVikings
9-5
MIN logo
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
13°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
7
7
17
Vikings
3
10
13
17
43

Spread

MIN logo
-7

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Vikings logo
Total Yards
363
368
Total Plays
58
68
Yards / Play
6.3
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.18
Passing Yards
272
150
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.53
-0.08
Rushing Yards
91
218
Rush Attempts
20
40
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Vikings logo
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Vikings logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-18.91
--
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-30
-18
Sack EPA
-5.76
-4.83
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
48
10
Penalty EPA
-5.56
-1.14

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model70.3%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants+7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+115
Home nfelo
1,529
Away nfelo
1,481
Home Field
+70.5
Base HFA
+59.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.7
Net QB Adjustment
-4.5
Home QB Adjustment
+15.2
Away QB Adjustment
+19.7
Market Regression
+2.3
Final Difference
149.5
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.7
Value
Ptile
10/11
13.0
100
10/19
-5.3
13
10/25
-6.2
10
11/01
10.7
98
11/08
-1.8
37
11/15
3.1
74
11/29
-6.8
8
12/06
-2.8
30
12/14
11.7
99
12/20
6.6
89
T. Bridgewater headshot

T. Bridgewater

Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+15.2
Value
Ptile
10/18
-5.8
12
10/25
1.9
64
11/01
-2.6
31
11/08
-0.7
47
11/15
-3.8
23
11/22
1.1
58
11/29
-2.8
30
12/06
-8.9
3
12/10
3.3
75
12/20
9.6
96

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Giants logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
4
5
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
29
26
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17

EPA

EPA / Play
7
12
EPA / Pass
10
11
EPA / Rush
21
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
17
16
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
14
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Vikings logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
29
32
Passing Yards / Game
31
13
Rushing Yards / Game
5
24

EPA

EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
24
25
EPA / Rush
4
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
4
10
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
25
12

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/11
3
W
L
O
10/19
-20
L
L
U
10/25
7
W
W
O
11/01
-3
L
P
O
11/08
14
W
W
O
11/15
-1
L
W
O
11/29
-6
L
L
U
12/06
-3
L
L
U
12/14
7
W
W
O
12/20
-3
L
W
O
MIN logo

Vikings

7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/18
6
W
W
U
10/25
9
W
W
O
11/01
3
W
W
U
11/08
3
W
W
U
11/15
16
W
W
P
11/22
-17
L
L
U
11/29
10
W
W
U
12/06
-31
L
L
O
12/10
-3
L
W
U
12/20
21
W
W
O