NYGGiants
9-7
31
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
024
MINVikings
13-4
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
14
3
7
7
31
Vikings
7
7
7
3
24
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
431
332
Total Plays
68
56
Yards / Play
6.3
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.19
Passing Yards
289
--
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
32/40(80%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.39
+0.25
Rushing Yards
142
61
Rush Attempts
30
16
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.34
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
21
Passing 1st downs
15
16
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
54%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-4.41
--
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
45
12
Penalty EPA
-4.03
-1.93
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+75
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,434
Home Field
+49.5
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
-37.9
Home QB Adjustment
-2.4
Away QB Adjustment
+35.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+35.5
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
30
Yards / Game
19
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
26
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
3
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
11
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
10
24
Turnover EPA / Game
32
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
16
6
RZ Efficiency
5
22
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
22
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
3
2
Rushing Yards / Game
29
28
EPA
EPA / Play
17
31
EPA / Pass
10
21
EPA / Rush
28
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
5
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
29
RZ Efficiency
8
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-6-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U