JAXJaguars
5-8
29
TBD
Paycor Stadium
42°F
14 mph
15
CINBengals
1-12
TBD
Paycor Stadium
42°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
7
8
7
29
Bengals
3
9
3
0
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
300
Total Plays
62
70
Yards / Play
5.2
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.25
-0.02
Passing Yards
212
235
Comp/Att
19/28(68%)
22/43(51%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.46
-0.15
Rushing Yards
111
65
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.15
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-11
-23
Sack EPA
-4.50
-6.01
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
54
29
Penalty EPA
-7.34
-4.12
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
32
Yards / Game
25
18
Passing Yards / Game
26
4
Rushing Yards / Game
9
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
32
EPA / Pass
30
31
EPA / Rush
32
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
13
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
32
20
Bengals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
7
Yards / Game
19
20
Passing Yards / Game
14
20
Rushing Yards / Game
20
25
EPA
EPA / Play
24
23
EPA / Pass
25
21
EPA / Rush
7
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
9
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
8
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
19
4th Down Efficiency
23
20
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U