JAXJaguars
7-7
14
TBD
Paycor Stadium
9°F
20 mph
17
CINBengals
3-11
TBD
Paycor Stadium
9°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
7
0
14
Bengals
0
0
1
10
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
276
263
Total Plays
63
52
Yards / Play
4.4
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.26
Passing Yards
162
157
Comp/Att
19/28(68%)
10/22(45%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.04
Rushing Yards
114
106
Rush Attempts
34
27
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.45
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
15
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
+0.79
-11.56
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-1.20
-4.63
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
47
--
Penalty EPA
-3.71
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
19
Yards / Game
6
24
Passing Yards / Game
8
21
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24
EPA
EPA / Play
8
22
EPA / Pass
10
29
EPA / Rush
11
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
6
Interceptions / Game
10
31
Fumbles / Game
20
11
Turnover EPA / Game
16
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
25
4th Down Efficiency
24
7
RZ Efficiency
16
10
Bengals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
15
Yards / Game
29
11
Passing Yards / Game
29
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
12
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
31
20
EPA / Rush
13
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
4
Interceptions / Game
7
25
Fumbles / Game
28
2
Turnover EPA / Game
10
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
21
16
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U